The Republican Iowa caucus will be on Jan 3. As candidates prepare to face off and scramble for votes, a recent Rasmussen poll indicates Mitt Romney is in the lead. But the front-runner has changed each time a new poll has been released. Historically, the Republican Iowa caucus has helped determine the candidate who might win the nomination. Its importance stems from Iowa remaining the first state to hold a voting event for the future presidential nomination. But the history of the Iowa caucus winners reveals that predictions about GOP nominees are not always accurate.
1976 -- Gerald Ford
* Gerald Ford defeated Ronald Reagan with a slim margin in a straw poll.
* Ford received 264 votes, while Reagan received 248 votes, according to the Des Moines Register.
* The Republican Iowa caucus of 1976 did not provide detailed reports. Instead, a summary was made public.
* Ford won the Republican nomination but lost the election to Jimmy Carter.
1980 -- George Bush
* George H.W. Bush defeated Reagan and won the nomination with 31.6 percent of the vote, according to the Des Moines Register.
* Reagan received 29.5 percent, while Howard Baker had 15.3 percent and John Connally had 9.3 percent.
* Despite winning the caucus, Bush later ended his presidential campaign and joined Reagan's ticket. Bush became vice president after Reagan won the election against Carter. The 1980 Iowa caucus did not accurately predict the Republican nominee.
1988 -- Bob Dole
* Bob Dole defeated Pat Robertson and Bush with 37.4 percent and 40,661votes, according to the Des Moines Register. Robertson received 24.6 percent, while Bush had 18.6 percent.
* The caucus failed to predict the GOP nominee. Bush went on to win the Republican nomination and won the election. He selected Dan Quayle, who was not part of the Iowa caucus, as his vice president.
1996 -- Bob Dole
* Dole won the Republican Iowa caucus for the second time in 1996 with 26 percent of the vote, according to the Des Moines Register.
* Dole defeated Pat Buchanan, Lamar Alexander, Steve Forbes, Phil Gramm, Alan Keyes, Richard Lugar and Morry Taylor. In this case, the caucus accurately predicted the GOP nominee.
* Bill Clinton won the 1996 presidential election, while Dole returned to the U.S. Senate.
2000 -- George W. Bush
* George W. Bush faced five candidates at the 2000 Iowa caucus. He defeated the others with 41 percent and 35,231 votes, according to the Des Moines Register.
* Bush went on to win the GOP nomination and the 2000 election.
2008 -- Mike Huckabee
* Mike Huckabee won the 2008 Iowa caucus with 34.4 percent of the vote, according to the New York Times. Huckabee defeated Mitt Romney's 25.2 percent, Fred Thompson's 13.4 percent, John McCain's 13.1 percent, Ron Paul's 10 percent and Rudy Giuliani's 3.5 percent.
* The caucus was another example of a failure to predict the eventual nominee. McCain won the nomination after Huckabee conceded but lost to Barack Obama.
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